Abusing Bayes theorem

Bates theorem is named after the Rev. Thomas Bayes (1701–1761), who first formulated it. It is essentially a statistical tool that allows you to work out the probability of something. The Cancer Illustration Let’s quickly illustrate how it works. If you wanted to work out the probability that somebody has cancer and you knew how old they were then you could … Read more

Climate Change: The Paris Agreement is not enough

The Paris Agreement last May has been hailed a success, and in many respects it was indeed exactly that because it resulted in a completely unprecedented agreement between most of the nations on the planet to take decisive steps to combat climate change. The aim was to hold climate change below 2 degrees Celsius and to … Read more

Shock horror, “Jet Stream Crosses Equator” … oh wait …

The UK’s Independent reports the rather startling news that … Scientists warn of ‘global climate emergency’ over jet stream shift Experts say drastic weather changes could cause ‘massive hits to food supply’ and ‘death of winter’ Environmental scientists have declared a “global climate emergency” after the Northern hemisphere jet stream was found to have crossed the equator, bringing … Read more

New Helium discovery is a game changer for planet earth

If you thought that Helium (He) was common, then you would be quite right about that because it is the second most abundant element in the Universe. In fact about 24% of both the Sun and also Jupiter is Helium. However … and this is the real kicker for us … this very abundant and common element is excessively rare … Read more

What happens to UK Science after the #BREXIT shock?

“WE can go it alone, we don’t need them” has been a LEAVE stance, and yet if the UK is indeed to thrive outside the EU then there will need to be a considerable scientific investment to make up for the sudden absence of EU funding. It also of course goes way beyond the pure … Read more

Religious group demands airtime on BBC

So the news is that Voice for Justice UK, a religious group, has presented a 12,000 signature petition to the BBC demanding that the BBC should not take up proposals to reduce Christian programs and that they should also fire their current Head of Religion and Ethics, Aaqil Amhed, simply because he is not Christian. Their representative, … Read more